Ukrainian economy could return to pre-war levels not earlier than in 2026

According to our core scenario* nominal GDP of Ukraine is estimated as $145 bn (muсh lower from $200 bn in 2021) and the real GDP could decrease by 34% in 2022. Looking forward, the Ukrainian economy will be developing between $130-160 bn in 2023-2024 and recieving great amounts of financial support from external funds for budget finacing and infrastructure reconstruction.

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